Tuesday, November 04, 2008

The REAL Battleground States

When the continuous election coverage starts on the major networks, you can be sure they will talk about the "battleground" or "tossup" states (those where the polls show the candidates within the margin of error or about 5% or so) as being the ones to watch. But Internal Monologue readers will know that unless you've placed some bets on the individual state races, those are no longer the important ones.

The states in this category this morning are: Arizona (Yes, Arizona!), Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, and Virginia. But even sweeping these states, and all the ones where he leads by more than 5% in polls only brings John McCain to 265 right now.

The TRUE battleground states to watch carefully are those where Obama is leading in polls by about 5-12%. Those are: Colorado, Iowa, Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Those are the ones that will decide this race.


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